1
Department of Management, Faculty of Administrative Sciences and Economics, University of Isfahan, Isfahan, Iran
2
Department of Management, Faculty of Administrative Sciences and Economics, University of Isfahan, Isfahan, Iran.
Abstract
This study employs the meta-analysis approach to assess the predictive accuracy of artificial intelligence (AI) models against traditional logistic regression in bankruptcy forecasting and to evaluate the contribution of market-based variables. It addresses two primary research questions derived from apparent contradictions in the extant empirical literature: (1) Which methodological approach—AI or logistic regression—provides superior predictive performance? (2) Does the incorporation of market variables enhance the accuracy of bankruptcy prediction models? A meta-analusis study identified relevant empirical studies published between 1990 and 2024. From this corpus, 573 effect sizes were extracted and analyzed using Comprehensive Meta-Analysis (CMA) software to test the corresponding hypotheses. The results indicate that AI-based models demonstrate statistically significant superiority in predictive accuracy compared to regression-based models. Furthermore, the analysis confirms that model performance is positively associated with the inclusion of a more number of market predictive variables of the bankruptcy prediction model. These findings clarify methodological efficacy and underscore the value of market data in bankruptcy prediction.
Fathi,S and Dehghani,A . (2026). A Comparative Meta-Analysis of Regression and AI Models in Bankruptcy Prediction: The Role of Market Variables. Budget and Finance Strategic Research, 7(2), 11-32.
MLA
Fathi,S , and Dehghani,A . "A Comparative Meta-Analysis of Regression and AI Models in Bankruptcy Prediction: The Role of Market Variables", Budget and Finance Strategic Research, 7, 2, 2026, 11-32.
HARVARD
Fathi S, Dehghani A. (2026). 'A Comparative Meta-Analysis of Regression and AI Models in Bankruptcy Prediction: The Role of Market Variables', Budget and Finance Strategic Research, 7(2), pp. 11-32.
CHICAGO
S Fathi and A Dehghani, "A Comparative Meta-Analysis of Regression and AI Models in Bankruptcy Prediction: The Role of Market Variables," Budget and Finance Strategic Research, 7 2 (2026): 11-32,
VANCOUVER
Fathi S, Dehghani A. A Comparative Meta-Analysis of Regression and AI Models in Bankruptcy Prediction: The Role of Market Variables. Budget and Finance Strategic Research. 2026;7(2):11-32 (In Persian).